To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Talking Points:
- AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Aussie Dollar still locked in increasingly narrow range below 0.80 figure
- Clear break to the up- or down-side needed for an actionable trade setup
The Australian Dollar remains stuck in a familiar range below 0.80 against its US cousin even as the greenback struggles against most other major currencies. This disappointing performance may point to considerable underlying Aussie weakness waiting for a substantive trigger to be unleashed.
A daily close below a rising trend line set from May/June lows – now at 0.7900 – opens the door for a test of the 0.7784-0.7805 area (38.2% Fibonacci retracement, August 15 low). Alternatively, a push above the 23.6% Fib expansionat 0.7979 paves the way for a challenge of the 0.8066-87 zone (July 27 high, 38.2% level).
An actionable trade setup seems to be absent at this point. The pair’s inability to build higher and the narrowing range between near-term support and resistance argue against taking up the long side. Meanwhile, the absence of a clear bearish breakout warns that entering short is premature for now. Staying flat seems prudent.
Have a question about trading AUD/USD? Join a free QA webinar and ask it live!
