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AUDUSD: Retail trader data shows 27.3% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders short to long at 2.66 to 1. In fact, traders have remained net-short since Jun 04 when AUDUSD traded near 0.74387; price has moved 6.6% higher since then. The number of traders net-long is 14.1% higher than yesterday and 10.6% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 2.5% higher than yesterday and 5.8% lower from last week.
We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-short suggests AUDUSD prices may continue to rise. Yet traders are less net-short than yesterday and compared with last week. We will take a cautiously bullish contrarian trading bias for the AUDUSD until we see more sustained signs of a turnaround in sentiment.
See next article in this week’s report: SP 500 – Remains a Buy until this Changes