Tanalys

Crude Oil (Nov 13) MT: the downside prevails.

Pivot: 106.45

Our Preference: As long as 106.45 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias.

Alternative Scenario: Above 106.45 eye a bounce towards 112.25 and 114.7 in extension.

Comment: the price is capped by a negative trend line drawn from the top in August. The 20-day moving average has slipped below the 50-day moving average and both are heading lower, turning into areas of resistance. On the other hand, we see a strong support area around 98.3.

Trend: ST Ltd downside; MT Range, we have been neutral since 2 OCT 2013 (101.5).

Key levels Comment

114.7 Fib projection

112.25 Horizontal resistance

106.45 Pivot point

101.4 Last

98.3 Fib retracement (38.2%)

95.8 Fib retracement (50%)

91.3 Horizontal support

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