Tanalys

Dollar Hits Three-Month Low, SPX 500 Nearing 2013 Top

Talking Points:

Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices are testing through support at 10581, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break below this barrier on a daily closing basis exposes the 50% level at 10527. Alternatively, a reversal back above 10581 sees the first layer of significant resistance at 10648, the 23.6% Fib.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

SP 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices are on pace to produce the longest string of consecutive daily gains in seven months. A break above rising trend line support-turned resistance at 1831.20 exposes 1847.90, the index’s 2013 closing high. Alternatively, a reversal below support in the 1805.70-20.60 area aims for a horizontal pivot level at 1773.40.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are testing above resistance at 1314.51, the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 100% level at 1338.17. A reversal back below 1314.51 sees the first layer of support at the $1300/oz figure, a level bolstered by the 61.8% Fib.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices put in a Shooting Star candlestick below resistance at 100.73, the December 27 high, hinting a reversal lower may be in the works. Breaking below 23.6% Fibonacci retracement support at 98.96 initially exposes the 38.2% level at 97.48.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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