Tanalys

Dollar Rally Resumes in Earnest, S&P 500 Finally Overtakes 1700

THE TAKEAWAY: The US Dollar renewed its upward push in earnest after completing a bullish reversal chart pattern. The SP 500 has finally managed to clear the 1700 figure.

Don’t have access the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket via Mirror Trader as an alternative. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices advanced as expected after completing a bullish Flag chart pattern. A break above initial resistance at 10820, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, has exposed the 38.2% level at 10899. A further push above that targets the 50% Fib at 10963. The 10820 mark has been recast as near-term support.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

SP 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices launched higher out of a narrow consolidation range to finally take out the 1700 figure, setting a new record high and extending the rally initiated following the formation of a Piecing Line candlestick pattern. Buyers now stand to challenge the 100% Fibonacci expansion at 1710.90, with a break above that exposing the 123.6% mark at 1746.70. Near-term support is at 1687.40, the May 22 high, followed by the 76.4% Fib at 1675.10.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices broke lower as expected after putting in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below resistance at the top of a rising channel set from late June. Sellers now aim to challenge the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 1273.98, with a break below that exposing the 38.2% level at 1229.97. Channel bottom support-turned-resistance is now at 1329.49.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Prices advanced as expected after putting in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. A break above initial resistance at 106.49, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion, has exposed the 38.2% level at 108.85. A further push above that aims for the 50% Fib at 110.77. The 106.49 mark has been recast as near-term support, with a reversal back beneath that eyeing the July 30 low at 102.66.

Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for Dailyfx.com

To contact Ilya, e-mail ispivak@dailyfx.com. Follow Ilya on Twitter at @IlyaSpivak

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