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Talking Points:
- EUR/GBP Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 0.7803, 0.7728, 0.7654
- Resistance: 0.7896, 0.7953, 0.8030
The Euro moved lower against the British Pound as expected after showing a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. A daily close below the 38.2% Fibonacci expansionat 0.7803 exposes the 0.7728-51 area marked by the July 2012 low and the 50% level. Alternatively, a reversal above the 0.7873-96 zone (July 23 low, 23.6% Fib) clears the way for a test of the 14.6% expansion at 0.7953.
The final part of our EURGBP short position was booked last week. While re-entering the trade seems tempting from a technical perspective, we will tactically opt to stand aside.The looming release of the Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report represents a defining bit of policy-defining news flow and we prefer to wait for the outcome before committing to a direction.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com