To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Talking Points:
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Pending Short at 1.0631
- Euro recoils from familiar resistance below 1.07 figure vs US Dollar
- Near-term down trend launched in early February may be resuming
A sharp Euro recovery stalled at a familiar chart barrier below the 1.07 figure, hinting that a corrective bounce from a monthly low may have been exhausted. Near-term positioning has favored the downside since prices broke through the floor of a bearish Rising Wedge chart pattern two weeks ago.
Near-term support is in the 1.0518-28 area (November 24 low, 23.6% Fibonacci expansion), with a daily close below that exposing the 1.0341-67 zone (December 15 low, 38.2% level). Alternatively, a push above support-turned-resistance at 1.0682 opens the door for a retest of the 38.2% Fib retracement at 1.0828.
Last week, partial profit-taking and a breakeven stop-out unwound a Euro short trade from 1.0623. Positioning now looks as though it might offer an opportunity to re-establish the trade under similar parameters and an order has been set to sell at 1.0631. If triggered, the trade will initially target 1.0528 with a stop-loss activated on a daily close above 1.0682.
Are other traders buying or selling the Euro, and what does that hint about the trend? Find out here!
