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Talking Points:
- EUR/GBP Technical Strategy: Short at 0.8357
- Support: 0.8463 (50% Fib ret.), 0.8535 (61.8% Fib ret.)
- Resistance: 0.8390 (38.2% Fib ret.), 0.8301 (23.6% Fib ret.)
Our short Euro position against the British Pound from 0.8357 was stopped out as prices issued a close above 0.8377, the March 13 high. Prices have now edged above resistance at 0.8390, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, seemingly exposing the 50% level at 0.8463. Alternatively, a reversal back below 0.8390 sees the next key layer of support at 0.8301, the 23.6% Fib.
Prices broke resistance by a mere 5 pips. In the context of a 20-day ATR reading at 42, our level of conviction in upside follow-through is relatively low. With that in mind, we will opt not to chase the pair higher and pass on a long position, choosing to monitor developments from the sidelines for now.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com