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Talking Points:
- EUR/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 138.91 (14.6% Fib ret., 138.06 (23.6% Fib ret.)
- Resistance: 140.29 (Feb 11 high), 140.73-95 (horizontal pivot, 50% Fib ret.)
Our decision to pass on a short EUR/JPY trade setup seems to be proving prudent as the pair attempts to break resistance at 140.29, the February 11 high. A daily close above this boundary sees the next upside barrier in the 140.73-95 area, marked by a horizontal pivot and the 50% Fibonacci retracement. For now, near-term support remains at 138.91, the 14.6% Fib expansion.
Entering long here looks premature absent confirmation of an upside breakout on a daily closing basis. On the other hand, fighting upside momentum by taking up the short side seems ill-advised absent a defined reversal signal. We will continue to stand aside for now.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com