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Talking Points:
- GBP/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 1.6593 (23.6% Fib ret.), 1.6452 (38.2% Fib ret.)
- Resistance: 1.6742 (Feb 14 close), 1.6811 (23.6% Fib exp.)
The British Pound may be carving out a top against the US Dollar after prices put in a Bearish Engulfing candlestick pattern below resistance at 1.6742, the February 14 close. Near-term support is at 1.6593, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break below that targeting the 38.2% level at 1.6452. Alternatively, a reversal above 1.6742 eyes the 23.6% Fib expansion at 1.6811.
A reasonable invalidation point for a short position here is 1.6822, the February 17 high. Assuming a target at 1.6593, risk/reward parameters are skewed against taking a trade. We will opt to wait for double top confirmation on a close below initial support to re-evaluate entry possibilities.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com