Talking Points
- EUR/USD Technical Strategy: Shorts Preferred
- Hammer formation may offer bullish reversal signal, but awaits confirmation
- Evening Star pattern on the weekly chart warns of significant correction
A Hammer candlestick pattern on the daily chart has emerged for EUR/USD following a bounce off key support at 1.3700. While considered a bullish reversal signal we are yet to see confirmation from a second successive up-day. This leaves the technical bias to the downside, particularly given the notable selling pressure around the 1.3770 mark (38.2% Fib Retracement level).
EUR/USD: Hammer Awaits Confirmation
Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
Drilling down to the four hour chart; the presence of a Dragonfly Doji near 1.3750 suggested some indecision amongst the Euro bulls in Asian trading today alongside some choppy price action. The absence of a clearer bearish reversal signal obfuscates a technical bias in the shorter-term.
EUR/USD: Dragonfly Doji Suggests Hesitation Amongst Bulls
4 Hour Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
Finally, taking a look at some broader context provided the weekly chart; the Evening Star formation that has emerged shy of the key 1.4000 is a notable warning signal of further declines ahead. The pattern has received confirmation from a successive down week which raises the likelihood of an eventual correction towards the 1.3480 support level.
EUR/USD: Evening Star Receives Confirmation
Weekly Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
By David de Ferranti, Market Analyst, FXCM
Follow David on Twitter: @Davidde
To receive David’s analysis directly via email, please sign up here.