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Talking Points:
- USD/CHF Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 0.8848 (Dec’13 closing bottom), 0.8798 (Dec 27 low)
- Resistance: 0.8921 (23.6% Fib ret.), 0.8966 (38.2% Fib ret.)
Prices are consolidating above support at 0.8848, the December 2013 closing bottom. Near-term resistance is at 0.8921, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, a barrier reinforced by a falling trend line set from late January. A break above this boundary exposes the 38.2% level at 0.8966. Alternatively, a break below support aims for the December 27 low at 0.8798.
Narrow range-bound trading conditions do not offer a clear-cut directional trade setup. From a risk/reward perspective, prices are too close to support to justify a short. On the other hand, a defined bullish reversal signal is absent for now. We will remain flat until something actionable materializes.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com