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Talking Points:
- USD/JPY Technical Strategy: Pending Long
- Support: 101.42 (Triangle floor)
- Resistance:102.62-81 (Feb 11 close, Triangle top), 103.75-104.14 (Mar 7 high, 38.2% Fib exp.)
The US Dollar launched a recovery against the Japanese Yen as expected after prices produced a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. On the whole, price action appears to be tracing out a Triangle chart pattern and hinting at upside trend continuation.A break above the 102.62-81 area, marked by a horizontal in play since mid-February and the Triangle top, exposes the March 7 high at 103.75. This is closely followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion at 104.13. Triangle floor support is now at 101.42.
Confirmation of the Triangle pattern requires a daily close above the formation’s upper boundary. We will wait for that to materialize to look for a long trade opportunity.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com