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GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: A Top May Be Set Sub-185.00

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Talking Points:

The British Pound may be preparing to turn lower against the Japanese Yen following the appearance of a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Negative RSI divergence bolsters the case for a downside scenario. A daily close below the 180.72-181.06 area marked by the November 10 low and the 23.6% Fibonacci exposes the 38.2% level at 178.28. Alternatively, a turn above the 23.6% Fib expansion at 184.91 opens the door for a test of the 38.2% threshold at 187.30.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now, waiting for a more actionable opportunity to present itself.

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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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