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GBP/JPY Technical Analysis: Stalling at Trend Line Support

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Talking Points:

The British Pound moved lower against the Japanese Yen as expected after producing a bearish Evening Star candlestick pattern. Prices are testing support at a rising trend line set from late May (173.53), with a daily close below that exposing the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 173.13. Alternatively, a reversal above the 23.6% Fib at 173.98 opens the door for a move to the 14.6% retracement at 174.50.

Prices are too close to support to justify entering short from a risk/reward perspective. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal argues against taking up the long side. We will remain flat for now.

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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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