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GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Pivotal Trend Line Under Fire

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Talking Points:

The British Pound continues to edge downward against the US Dollar having marked a top as expected after showing a Hanging Man candle with negative RSI divergence. Near-term support is at a rising trend line set from early February, now at 1.6914. A break below that on a daily closing basis exposesthe 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.6832.Alternatively, a reversal above the 23.6% level at 1.6969opens the door for a test ofthe 14.6% Fib at 1.7053.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices trading in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now.

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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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