Tanalys

NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Cautiously Edging Upward

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Talking Points:

The New Zealand Dollar is attempting to grind higher as expected against its US namesake after prices forming a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 0.7973, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the February 4 low at 0.8051. Alternatively, a turn below the 14.6% Fibexpansion at 0.7808 clears the way for a challenge of the 0.7682-0.7707 area marked by the July 8 2013 low and the 23.6% threshold.

On balance, the dominant trend has favored the downside since early July. With that in mind, we will to wait for any on-coming gains and treat them as a selling opportunity rather than a trade-able bullish setup.

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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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