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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Trying to Expose October Top

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Talking Points:

The New Zealand Dollar advanced as expected against its US counterpart having produced a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. Near-term resistance is at 0.7937, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the October 21 high at 0.8034. Alternatively, a turn below the 14.6% level at 0.7831 clears the way for a challenge of the July 2013 bottom at 0.7682.

Prices have not confirmed a break of resistance with a daily close, meaning entering long looks premature. On the other hand, a defined bearish reversal signal arguing for a downside scenario is absent. With that in mind we will remain flat for now.

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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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