Talking Points
- US Dollar Poised to Test June Low After Trend Line Break
- SP 500 Chart Positioning Reveals Bearish Reversal Clues
- Gold Recoils from Resistance, Inches to Pre-FOMC Bottom
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Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **
US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices broke support at a rising trend line set from late March, exposing the June bottom at 10469. A push beneath that targets 10391. The trend line – now at 10592 – has been recast as resistance, with a turn back above that targeting 10646.
Weekly Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.
SP 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices are testing resistance at 1713.30, the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion. A break above this barrier targets a long-term channel top set from mid-2011, now at 1748.40. Negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing bullish momentum and hints a reversal downward may be brewing however. Near-term trend line support is now at 1647.20.
Weekly Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices recoiled from support-turned-resistance at the underside of a rising channel set from the late-June swing bottom. A break through the 1341.60-47.52 area, marked by a horizontal pivot and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, has exposed the 38.2% level at 1320.86. Pushing further beneath that eyes the 50% Fib at 1304.10. Alternatively, a move back above 1347.52 targets the channel top (now at 1383.00) anew.
Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS– Prices are testing rising trend line support set from mid-April, now at 104.14. A break below that initially exposes the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 102.05. Near-term resistance is at 105.93, the 23.6% level.
Weekly Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com
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