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US Dollar Technical Analysis: Perched at Range Support

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Talking Points:

The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index declined as expected after negative RSI divergence hinted at ebbing upside momentum. A daily close below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracementat 11985 exposes the 38.2% level at 11937. Alternatively, a move above the 14.6% Fib at 12015 clears the way for a test of trend line support-turned-resistance at 12045.

Our long-term fundamental outlook calls for a broadly stronger US Dollar against its major currency counterparts. With that in mind, we are holding long via the Mirror Trader US Dollar currency basket.

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** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com

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