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Talking Points:
- USD/CAD Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 1.0859 (38.2% Fib ret.), 1.0730 (50% Fib ret.)
- Resistance: 1.0975 (trend line), 1.1126 (horizontal pivot)
The US Dollar continued to slide against its Canadian namesake having reversing downward as expected after finding resistance above the 1.12 figure. A break below support at 1.0859, the 38% Fibonacci retracement, exposes the 50% level at 1.0730. Alternatively, a reversal above support-turned-resistance at a rising trend line set from mid-January (now at 1.0975) targets a horizontal pivot level at 1.1126.
Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices trading in close proximity to relevant support. On the other hand, taking up the long side looks premature absent a defined bullish reversal signal. With that in mind, we will remain flat for now.
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Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com