To receive Ilya’s analysis directly via email, please SIGN UP HERE
Talking Points:
- USD/CHF Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 0.8829 (50% Fib exp.), 0.8799 (38% Fib exp.)
- Resistance: 0.8859-64 (61.8% Fib exp., trend line), 0.8896 (76.4% Fib exp.)
The US Dollar advanced against the Swiss Franc as we suspected after prices put in a bullish Piercing Line candlestick pattern. The pair has moved to test resistance in the 0.8859-64 area, marked by the 61.8% Fibonacci expansion and a falling trend line set from September. A break above this barrier on a daily closing basis initially exposes the 76.4% level at 0.8896. Near-term support is at 0.8829, the 50% Fib, with a move below that eyeing the 38.2% expansion at 0.8799.
Risk/reward considerations argue against entering long with prices sitting squarely at relevant resistance. On the other hand, taking up the short side looks premature without a defined bearish reversal signal. We will remain flat for now, waiting for an actionable opportunity to emerge.
Confirm your chart-based trade setups with the Technical Analyzer. New to FX? Start Here!
Daily Chart – Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0
— Written by Ilya Spivak, Currency Strategist for DailyFX.com